Central and rear-edge populations can be equally vulnerable to warming
Scott Bennett (),
Thomas Wernberg,
Bijo Arackal Joy,
Thibaut de Bettignies and
Alexandra H. Campbell
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Scott Bennett: UWA Oceans Institute (M470) and School of Plant Biology, University of Western Australia
Thomas Wernberg: UWA Oceans Institute (M470) and School of Plant Biology, University of Western Australia
Bijo Arackal Joy: UWA Oceans Institute (M470) and School of Plant Biology, University of Western Australia
Thibaut de Bettignies: UWA Oceans Institute (M470) and School of Plant Biology, University of Western Australia
Alexandra H. Campbell: Evolution and Ecology Research Centre, Centre for Marine Bio-Innovation, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales
Nature Communications, 2015, vol. 6, issue 1, 1-7
Abstract:
Abstract Rear (warm) edge populations are often considered more susceptible to warming than central (cool) populations because of the warmer ambient temperatures they experience, but this overlooks the potential for local variation in thermal tolerances. Here we provide conceptual models illustrating how sensitivity to warming is affected throughout a species’ geographical range for locally adapted and non-adapted populations. We test these models for a range-contracting seaweed using observations from a marine heatwave and a 12-month experiment, translocating seaweeds among central, present and historic range edge locations. Growth, reproductive development and survivorship display different temperature thresholds among central and rear-edge populations, but share a 2.5 °C anomaly threshold. Range contraction, therefore, reflects variation in local anomalies rather than differences in absolute temperatures. This demonstrates that warming sensitivity can be similar throughout a species geographical range and highlights the importance of incorporating local adaptation and acclimatization into climate change vulnerability assessments.
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natcom:v:6:y:2015:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms10280
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DOI: 10.1038/ncomms10280
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