Using food-web theory to conserve ecosystems
E. McDonald-Madden (),
R. Sabbadin,
E. T. Game,
P. W. J. Baxter,
I. Chadès and
H. P. Possingham
Additional contact information
E. McDonald-Madden: School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, University of Queensland
R. Sabbadin: Unité de Mathématiques et Informatique Appliquées, Toulouse
E. T. Game: The Nature Conservancy, Conservation Science
P. W. J. Baxter: Centre for Applications in Natural Resource Mathematics, School of Mathematics and Physics, The University of Queensland
I. Chadès: CSIRO, Ecosciences Precinct
H. P. Possingham: School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland
Nature Communications, 2016, vol. 7, issue 1, 1-8
Abstract:
Abstract Food-web theory can be a powerful guide to the management of complex ecosystems. However, we show that indices of species importance common in food-web and network theory can be a poor guide to ecosystem management, resulting in significantly more extinctions than necessary. We use Bayesian Networks and Constrained Combinatorial Optimization to find optimal management strategies for a wide range of real and hypothetical food webs. This Artificial Intelligence approach provides the ability to test the performance of any index for prioritizing species management in a network. While no single network theory index provides an appropriate guide to management for all food webs, a modified version of the Google PageRank algorithm reliably minimizes the chance and severity of negative outcomes. Our analysis shows that by prioritizing ecosystem management based on the network-wide impact of species protection rather than species loss, we can substantially improve conservation outcomes.
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natcom:v:7:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms10245
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DOI: 10.1038/ncomms10245
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