A global strategy to mitigate the environmental impact of China’s ruminant consumption boom
Yuanyuan Du,
Ying Ge,
Yuan Ren,
Xing Fan,
Kaixuan Pan,
Linshan Lin,
Xu Wu,
Yong Min,
Laura A. Meyerson,
Mikko Heino,
Scott X. Chang,
Xiaozi Liu,
Feng Mao,
Guofu Yang,
Changhui Peng,
Zelong Qu,
Jie Chang () and
Raphael K. Didham ()
Additional contact information
Yuanyuan Du: Zhejiang University
Ying Ge: Zhejiang University
Yuan Ren: Zhejiang University
Xing Fan: Zhejiang University
Kaixuan Pan: Zhejiang University
Linshan Lin: Zhejiang University
Xu Wu: Zhejiang University
Yong Min: Zhejiang University of Technology
Laura A. Meyerson: University of Rhode Island
Mikko Heino: University of Bergen
Scott X. Chang: University of Alberta
Xiaozi Liu: Academia Sinica
Feng Mao: University of Birmingham
Guofu Yang: Zhejiang University
Changhui Peng: University of Quebec at Montreal
Zelong Qu: Zhejiang University
Jie Chang: Zhejiang University
Raphael K. Didham: The University of Western Australia
Nature Communications, 2018, vol. 9, issue 1, 1-11
Abstract:
Abstract Rising demand for ruminant meat and dairy products in developing countries is expected to double anthropogenic greenhouse gas and ammonia emissions from livestock by 2050. Mitigation strategies are urgently needed to meet demand while minimizing environmental impacts. Here, we develop scenarios for mitigating emissions under local vs global supply policies using data from 308 livestock farms across mainland China, where emissions intensities are ~50% higher than those in developed nations. Intensification of domestic production and globalized expansion through increased trade result in reductions in global emissions by nearly 30% over a business-as-usual scenario, but at the expense of trading partners absorbing the associated negative externalities of environmental degradation. Only adoption of a mixed strategy combining global best-practice in sustainable intensification of domestic production, with increased green-source trading as a short-term coping strategy, can meet 2050 demand while minimizing the local and global environmental footprint of China’s ruminant consumption boom.
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natcom:v:9:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-018-06381-0
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06381-0
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