The underestimated potential of solar energy to mitigate climate change

Felix Creutzig (), Peter Agoston, Jan Christoph Goldschmidt, Gunnar Luderer, Gregory Nemet and Robert C. Pietzcker
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Felix Creutzig: Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change
Peter Agoston: Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change
Jan Christoph Goldschmidt: Fraunhofer Institut für Solare Energiesysteme ISE
Gunnar Luderer: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Robert C. Pietzcker: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Nature Energy, 2017, vol. 2, issue 9, 1-9

Abstract: Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's fifth assessment report emphasizes the importance of bioenergy and carbon capture and storage for achieving climate goals, but it does not identify solar energy as a strategically important technology option. That is surprising given the strong growth, large resource, and low environmental footprint of photovoltaics (PV). Here we explore how models have consistently underestimated PV deployment and identify the reasons for underlying bias in models. Our analysis reveals that rapid technological learning and technology-specific policy support were crucial to PV deployment in the past, but that future success will depend on adequate financing instruments and the management of system integration. We propose that with coordinated advances in multiple components of the energy system, PV could supply 30–50% of electricity in competitive markets.

Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1038/nenergy.2017.140

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