Using sales data to assess cooking gas adoption and the impact of India’s Ujjwala programme in rural Karnataka

Abhishek Kar (), Shonali Pachauri, Rob Bailis and Hisham Zerriffi
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Abhishek Kar: University of British Columbia
Shonali Pachauri: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Rob Bailis: United States Centre
Hisham Zerriffi: University of British Columbia

Nature Energy, 2019, vol. 4, issue 9, 806-814

Abstract: Abstract More than 70 million poor women in India have received liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) stoves within the first 35 months under a government programme, Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana (PMUY). Here, we analyse multi-year LPG sales data from a district in Karnataka to assess enrolment and consumption trends for both PMUY beneficiaries and general (non-PMUY) rural consumers. We find rapid growth in enrolments of LPG consumers, but this is not matched by an increase in LPG sales, suggesting that LPG access has not induced a full transition away from the use of polluting solid fuels. The number of LPG refills among PMUY beneficiaries is less than half that of rural general consumers. We also find no observable increase in LPG consumption among general rural consumers with years of experience. These results suggest that mid-course policy revisions to encourage regular LPG use are needed for both PMUY and general rural consumers.

Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1038/s41560-019-0429-8

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