Energy modellers should explore extremes more systematically in scenarios

David L. McCollum (), Ajay Gambhir, Joeri Rogelj and Charlie Wilson
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David L. McCollum: Electric Power Research Institute
Ajay Gambhir: Imperial College
Joeri Rogelj: Imperial College
Charlie Wilson: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Nature Energy, 2020, vol. 5, issue 2, 104-107

Abstract: Scenarios are the primary tool for examining how current decisions shape the future, but the future is affected as much by out-of-ordinary extremes as by generally expected trends. Energy modellers can study extremes both by incorporating them directly within models and by using complementary off-model analyses.

Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1038/s41560-020-0555-3

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