Probabilistic feasibility space of scaling up green hydrogen supply

Adrian Odenweller, Falko Ueckerdt (), Gregory Nemet, Miha Jensterle and Gunnar Luderer
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Adrian Odenweller: Member of the Leibniz Association
Falko Ueckerdt: Member of the Leibniz Association
Miha Jensterle: adelphi research gGmbH
Gunnar Luderer: Member of the Leibniz Association

Nature Energy, 2022, vol. 7, issue 9, 854-865

Abstract: Abstract Green hydrogen and derived electrofuels are attractive replacements for fossil fuels in applications where direct electrification is infeasible. While this makes them crucial for climate neutrality, rapidly scaling up supply is critical and challenging. Here we show that even if electrolysis capacity grows as fast as wind and solar power have done, green hydrogen supply will remain scarce in the short term and uncertain in the long term. Despite initial exponential growth, green hydrogen likely (≥75%) supplies

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1038/s41560-022-01097-4

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