Adaptive capacity for multimodal transport network resilience to extreme floods

Chunhong Li, Weiping Wang, Albert Solé-Ribalta, Javier Borge-Holthoefer, Bin Jia (), Zhiyuan Liu, Bin Yu, Ziyou Gao () and Jianxi Gao ()
Additional contact information
Chunhong Li: Beijing Jiaotong University
Weiping Wang: Beijing Normal University
Albert Solé-Ribalta: Universitat Oberta de Catalunya
Javier Borge-Holthoefer: Universitat Oberta de Catalunya
Bin Jia: Beijing Jiaotong University
Zhiyuan Liu: Southeast University
Bin Yu: Beihang University
Ziyou Gao: Beijing Jiaotong University
Jianxi Gao: Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

Nature Sustainability, 2025, vol. 8, issue 7, 741-752

Abstract: Abstract As extreme weather events enhanced by climate change pose challenges to the resilience of critical infrastructure, the ability to handle disruptions, avoid tipping points, adapt and transform in crises becomes essential. Despite advances in resilience research, there is a need to improve empirical evidence and mathematical models to quantify the systems’ adaptive capabilities to extreme climate-related phenomena, such as floods. This research fills this gap by integrating an agent-based multimodal traffic functional model with a compound failure model to provide valuable insights into adaptation patterns (that is, mode shift and route switching) and risk mitigation in response to flood-related disruptions. The proposed modelling approach not only quantifies the recovery and adaptive capacity against failures, going beyond traditional resilience analyses, but also unveils the key factors that drive adaptation of transportation to flood-induced disasters. These factors include variations in trip demand and network density, which together reveal a universal law of mode shift. The study provides valuable insights into the design of resilient and sustainable critical infrastructure systems, such as transportation, energy and communication systems capable of withstanding severe flood events while maintaining their functionality.

Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-025-01575-z Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nat:natsus:v:8:y:2025:i:7:d:10.1038_s41893-025-01575-z

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.nature.com/natsustain/

DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01575-z

Access Statistics for this article

Nature Sustainability is currently edited by Monica Contestabile

More articles in Nature Sustainability from Nature
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().