Procesos estocásticos en la valuación de proyectos de inversión,opciones reales, árboles binomiales, simulación bootstrap y simulación Monte Carlo: flexibilidad en la toma de decisiones

Cruz Aranda Fernando ()
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Cruz Aranda Fernando: Universidad Panamericana

Contaduría y Administración, 2012, vol. 57, issue 2, 83-112

Abstract: This research incorporates stochastic processes in the valuation of investment projects using real options, which is linked to the value of managerial flexibility, that is, to use the option in order to make strategic decisions in line with the company’s economic environment. A project is valued taking into account the real option under which the company has the flexibility to abandon the project if the environment requires it. In the valuation of the project are considered cash flows of the company and bootstrap simulation, historical simulation and Monte Carlo simulation are carried out on them. We analyze and estimate cash flows considering binomial trees to finally determine the real option value and viability of the investment project of the company.

Keywords: proceso estocástico; simulación histórica; simulación Monte Carlo; proyectos de inversión; árboles binomiales y opciones reales (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nax:conyad:v:57:y:2012:i:2:p:83-112

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