Does the credit cycle exist? Policy recommendations based on empirical analyses of the Polish banking sector

Mateusz Pipień and Dobiesław Tymoczko ()
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Dobiesław Tymoczko: Warsaw School of Economics

Bank i Kredyt, 2024, vol. 55, issue 1, 1-20

Abstract: Macroprudential policy gained significance after the 2007 crisis, increasing the importance of financial cycle analyses. In this study, the authors investigate the empirical features of the credit cycle in Poland, broken down by individual banks. The results point out a decrease in the amplitude of cyclical fluctuations. Furthermore the empirical findings indicate a differentiation of credit cycles in individual banks, suggesting that a microprudential policy towards one bank (or a group of banks) could bring similar effects to macroprudential policy. The results indicate the need to supplement the macroprudential policy analysis with disaggregated data for individual banks.

Keywords: credit cycle; macroprudential policy; banking sector; HP filtering; lead/lag analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 E32 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nbp:nbpbik:v:55:y:2024:i:1:p:1-20

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