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Пилипенко Андрей ()
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Пилипенко Андрей: Head of the Department of Economic Cybernetics of the Institute of Economic and Management of Eastern Ukraine National University named after V. Dal of the Ministry of Education of Ukraine

Economics of Development, 2016, vol. 78, issue 2, 65-72

Abstract: The problem of sustainable development has the following aspects: systematic, synergetic, ecological, economic, mathematical, informational, philosophical, legal, educational and so on. The paradigm of sustainable development requires a shift from the study of some isolated operating systems to the study of integral evolving systems, updating and strengthening system-synergetic links of the open system and its environment. The problem of sustainable development and the innovation approach to integrated modelling in managing technogenic objects and processes (TOP) as a system of socio-environmental, economic and humanitarian type (SEEHS) has been studied. Based on the use of information and innovative technologies, integrated stochastic models of objects and processes suitable for systemic crisis have been designed and tested with a view to predicting nonlinear dynamics of eco-economic and sociol-humanitarian systems. The integration of 4 areas and operation of modern complex systems has been researched. A common conceptual integrated model has been proposed, a synergetic model of dynamics considering different uncertainty (random and chaotic components) has been generalized. Note that when modelling the dynamics of labor, resources and other factors, the generalized logistic Ferhyulst equation and others have been used. Most of the previously created models of the dynamics of the ecological, economic and sociohumanitarian systems and processes that operate and develop under difficult nonlinear conditions, instabilities and crises are of theoretical and determined nature and quite problematic in terms of adequacy and availability of information for their implementation. In this regard, the task of managing TOP causes an objective necessity for improvement of methods, models and information technologies based on stochastic equations to control SEEHS.

Keywords: : integrated nolinear model; management; socio-eco-economic and humanitarian system; development. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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