Rich State, Poor State, Red State, Blue State: What's the Matter with Connecticut?

Andrew Gelman, Boris Shor, Joseph Bafumi and David Park

Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 2008, vol. 2, issue 4, 345-367

Abstract: For decades, the Democrats have been viewed as the party of the poor, with the Republicans representing the rich. Recent presidential elections, however, have shown a reverse pattern, with Democrats performing well in the richer blue states in the northeast and coasts, and Republicans dominating in the red states in the middle of the country and the south. Through multilevel modeling of individuallevel survey data and county- and state-level demographic and electoral data, we reconcile these patterns.

Keywords: Availability heuristic; Ecological fallacy; Hierarchical model; Income and voting; Multilevel model; Presidential elections; Public opinion; Secret weapon; Varying-slope model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:now:jlqjps:100.00006026

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