Foreward - The Chancellor's Trilemma

David Aikman ()

National Institute UK Economic Outlook, 2025, issue 19, 3

Abstract: The UK economy enters the second half of 2025 still confronting weak growth and stubborn inflationary pressures. While external factors – including continued trade policy uncertainty and persistent geopolitical risks – certainly matter, domestic challenges dominate the outlook. Chief among these is the Government's increasingly acute fiscal predicament. Simply put, the Chancellor cannot simultaneously meet her fiscal rules, fulfil spending commitments, and uphold manifesto promises to avoid tax rises for working people. At least one of these will need to be dropped – she faces an impossible trilemma.

Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://niesr.ac.uk/publications/uk-economic-outlo ... =uk-economic-outlook

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nsr:niesra:i:19y:2025p:3

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in National Institute UK Economic Outlook from National Institute of Economic and Social Research 2 Dean Trench Street Smith Square London SW1P 3HE. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Library & Information Manager ().