UK Regional Outlook

Arnab Bhattacharjee, Elena Lisauskaite (), Adrian Pabst and Tibor Tzendrei

National Institute UK Economic Outlook, 2021, issue 3, 37-50

Abstract: The twin shocks of Covid-19 and Brexit have brought about great economic disruption and hardship for many individuals, households and communities (Bhattacharjee et al., 2021; Blundell et al., 2021). However, the brunt of the burden has been borne by households, individuals and regions under persistent deprivation and lagging behind. Our projections, based on NiReMS and drawing inputs from NiGEM and NiSEM, reflect evidence of permanent scarring everywhere. Compared with the May 2021 projections, we are now finding evidence of a slightly faster recovery to return to 2019 levels. However, the pace of recovery is widely different across regions, with particular and continued hardship in pockets of low-skills, low-productivity, low-wages nexus.

Date: 2021
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Journal Article: UK regional outlook (2021)
Journal Article: UK regional outlook (2021)
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