National Institute Global Economic Outlook

2021 - 2025

From National Institute of Economic and Social Research
2 Dean Trench Street Smith Square London SW1P 3HE.
Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Library & Information Manager ().

Access Statistics for this journal.
Is something missing from the series or not right? See the RePEc data check for the archive and series.

Foreword pp. 3-4: Stephen Millard
National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Winter 2025 – Summary pp. 5-6: Ahmet Kaya, Edmund Cornforth, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Stephen Millard, Shama Bernard, Barry Naisbitt, Lea de Greef and Monica George Michail
Box A: France's Austerity Package: Assessing the Macroeconomic Impacts pp. 24-31: Ahmet Kaya and Patricia Sanchez Juanino
Box B: Global Trade Fragmentation and the Rise of Connector Countries pp. 34-38: Lea de Greef and Antonio Haro-Banon
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 52-60: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 61-69: Iana Liadze

National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Autumn 2024 – Summary pp. 4-5: Ahmet Kaya, Edmund Cornforth, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Stephen Millard, Shama Bernard, Barry Naisbitt and Lea de Greef
Foreword pp. 4: Stephen Millard
National Institute Global Economic Outlook Autumn 2024 pp. 6-78: Ahmet Kaya, Edmund Cornforth, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Stephen Millard, Shama Bernard, Barry Naisbitt and Lea de Greef
Box A: Does the Recent Rise in Shipping Costs Warn of Higher Inflation? pp. 14-20: Ahmet Kaya, Edmund Cornforth and Barry Naisbitt
Box B: Not Your Father's Rate Cycle: US Economic Resilience Against Rate Hikes pp. 28-42: Monica George Michail and Paul Mortimer-Lee
Box C: Global Ripples: Fed's Monetary Moves and their Impact on Emerging Economies pp. 53-63: Turalay Kenc
NiGEM Topical Feature: The Effects of Higher US tariffs pp. 64-77: Shama Bernard, Lea de Greef, Ian Hurst, Ahmet Kaya, Barry Naisbitt and Iana Liadze
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 79-87: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 88-96: Iana Liadze

Foreword pp. 3-4: Stephen Millard
National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summer 2024 – Summary pp. 7-47: Ahmet Kaya, Edmund Cornforth, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Stephen Millard, Shama Bernard, Barry Naisbitt and Lea de Greef
Box A: The European Union's Revised Fiscal Rules: Main Features and Implications pp. 23-28: Lucia Cassaro
Box B: Quantitative Easing, Fiscal Policy and Central Bank Recapitalisation pp. 41-43: Jagjit Chadha
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 48-55: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 56-64: Iana Liadze

Foreword pp. 3-4: Stephen Millard
National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary pp. 5-6: Niesr
Global Economic Outlook pp. 7-64: Barry Naisbitt, Edmund Cornforth, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Ahmet Kaya, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Stephen Millard and Shama Bernard
Box A: Everything You Wanted to Know About the US Budget Deficit and Debt But Were Afraid to Ask pp. 23-33: Paul Mortimer-Lee and Ahmet Kaya
Box B: How Geopolitics Shapes Chinese Economic Policy: An Introduction to 'Asymmetric Decoupling' pp. 36-39: David Lubin
NiGEM Topical Feature: To What Extent Has the Recovery and Resilience Facility Supported the EU Recovery from Covid? pp. 54-64: Stephen Millard
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 65-71: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 72-80: Iana Liadze

Foreword pp. 3: Stephen Millard
National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary pp. 4-6: Niesr
Global Economic Outlook pp. 7-37: Barry Naisbitt, Edmund Cornforth, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Ahmet Kaya, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Stephen Millard and Shama Bernard
Box A: The Fed Has Overtightened pp. 38-46: Paul Mortimer-Lee
Box B: Expanding country models in NiGEM pp. 47-52: Edmund Cornforth
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 53-61: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 62-71: Iana Liadze

Foreword pp. 3: Jagjit Chadha
National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary pp. 4-6: Niesr
Global Economic Outlook pp. 7-34: Barry Naisbitt, Edmund Cornforth, Paula Bejarano Carbo, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sanchez Juanino and Stephen Millard
Box A: Prospects for Emerging Central and Eastern European Economies pp. 35-40: Jakub Rybacki
Box B: The Multilateral Context for European and Australian Economic Cooperation pp. 41-48: Paul Gretton
Box C: Why Did US Inflation Forecasts Fail? pp. 49-58: Paul Mortimer-Lee
NiGEM Topical Feature: Short-term Impact from a Rapid Increase in Carbon Taxes pp. 59-69: Iana Liadze, Barry Naisbitt, Patricia Sanchez-Juanino and Stephen Millard
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 70-78: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 79-88: Iana Liadze

Foreword pp. 3: Jagjit Chadha
National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary pp. 4-5: Niesr
Global Economic Outlook pp. 6-26: Barry Naisbitt, Edmund Cornforth, Paula Bejarano Carbo, Joanna Nowinska, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Hailey Low, Xuxin Mao and Patricia Sánchez Juanino
Modelling the effects from slower trade growth: an exercise using NiGEM pp. 27-33: Iana Liadze, Barry Naisbitt and Patricia Sanchez-Juanino
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 34-39: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 40-48: Iana Liadze

Foreword pp. 3: Jagjit Chadha
National Institute Global Economic Outlook – Summary pp. 4-5: Niesr
Global Economic Outlook pp. 6-34: Barry Naisbitt, Edmund Cornforth, Paula Bejarano Carbo, Joanna Nowinska, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Hailey Low, Xuxin Mao and Patricia Sánchez Juanino
Box A: The First World War: what it helps us to understand about Russia's invasion of Ukraine pp. 12-14: Norma Cohen
Box B: Has headline inflation peaked in the G7 economies? pp. 21-27: Barry Naisbitt and Joanna Nowinska
NiGEM Topical Feature: Modelling a secular slowdown in China: an exercise using NiGEM pp. 35-42: Iana Liadze, Xuxin Mao, Barry Naisbitt and Patricia Sanchez-Juanino
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 43-48: Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 49-58: Iana Liadze