The Long-Term Budget Outlook in the United States and the Role of Health Care Entitlements

Joyce Manchester and Jonathan Schwabish

National Tax Journal, 2010, vol. 63, issue 2, 285-305

Abstract: In the absence of significant changes in policy, rising costs for health care will cause federal spending to grow much faster than revenues, putting the federal budget on an unsustainable path. Budgetary projections prepared by the Congressional Budget Office indicate that if current laws and policies remain in place, federal debt in the United States will continue to grow much faster than the economy over the long run. Although long-term budget projections are highly uncertain, under any plausible scenario rising costs for health care and the aging of the U.S. population will cause federal spending to increase rapidly.

Date: 2010
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