Predicted Number of the Rural Population by 2020 by Planning Regions

Minka Anastasova – Chopeva ()
Additional contact information
Minka Anastasova – Chopeva: Institute of Agricultural Economics, Sofia, Bulgaria

Ikonomiceski i Sotsialni Alternativi, 2014, issue 3, 43-57

Abstract: The serious challenges to the implementation of the Programme for Rural Development in the new programming period 2014 2020 (PRD) raises due to the heavy demographic crisis of country and especially of the rural areas. This defines the purpose of the article. On the one hand, the main forecasts the expected total number of rural population incl. in sex-age groups by 2020 for six planning regions are presented and analyzed. On the other hand, recommendations regarding the need for urgent, complex and unusual measures to get out of the demographic crisis are made. The component method of population is used for preparing the forecasts. Years from 2001 to 2010. are selected for basic period. The specific features of the statistical regions in relation to the rural demographic development are discovered. A further tendency of the rural population decrease and continuing village depopulation are contoured. This trend is typical for all planning areas but level and pace of ongoing demographic processes are different. The impact of population growth on demographic development in the rural areas will continue to have a dominant influence than the impact of migration processes. The summarizing conclusions from analysis of the expected demographic situation in rural areas are derived. An attempt to lay down recommendations to solve this with essential, as complex and difficult problem is made. Among them is a reasonable idea of creating a special fund under certain requirements to help the demographic salvation of Bulgarian villages. Among them is motivated the idea of creating a special fund subject to certain requirements to help the demographic rescue of Bulgarian villages.

Keywords: demographic rescue; rural population (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C65 J11 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.unwe.bg/uploads/Alternatives/3_br_3_2014.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nwe:iisabg:y:2014:i:3:p:43-57

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Ikonomiceski i Sotsialni Alternativi from University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Vanya Lazarova ().