THE INFLUENCE OF MACROECONOMIC FACTORS ON ARRIVALS IN RURAL TOURISTIC PENSIONS IN CRISANA REGION FROM ROMANIA - PART 1

Barbu Ionel (), Nicolaescu Cristina () and Ciprian Turturean ()
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Barbu Ionel: Aurel Vlaicu University, Arad,Romania, AIITT Department, Engineering Faculty
Nicolaescu Cristina: Aurel Vlaicu University, Arad,Romania, Department of Economics

Annals of Faculty of Economics, 2015, vol. 1, issue 1, 671-680

Abstract: In this study we present an econometric analysis of the number of arrivals in rural touristic pensions based on several indicators that we believe may affect in a positive or negative fluctuations of tourists. The analysis we perform for the period January 2006 - December 2013 with a quarterly frequency. We ordered and monthly values of most of the indicators selected, but we tried from start a reduction effect of seasonality.Given the emerging crisis in the second half of 2008, we expect basically after 2008 appear a decrease arrivals in rural touristic pensions, and after 2010, the year a slight recovery from the crisis appear improved this activity.For analysis we selected eight indicators: The average national unemployment; The average national inflation; The volume index of turnover for services provided to the population (hotels and restaurants); The volume index of turnover for services provided to the population (tourist assistance activities); Net use index of accommodation in rural guesthouses nationwide; Net use index of accommodation places in the region Crişana; Average gross salary at national level; GDP. So, in this study we have tried to analyze the influence of macroeconomic factors on rural touristic pensions arrivals in Romania Crisana region. This analysis will help owners of pensions in the management.In this paper we try to find the difficulties, limitations of rural tourism development in Crisana region from perspective of local government. In this paper we try to show as well the main factors of the emergence and development of rural tourism in order to establish priorities in the joint action of local people, entrepreneurs, tourists and local and national administrations. In many countries, the tourism industry fall within government priority. Tourism has been identified as one of the primary industries with potential to support local communities in developing economic diversity.

Keywords: econometric study; rural tourism; Crisana; Romania (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: M21 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ora:journl:v:1:y:2015:i:1:p:671-680

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