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THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GDP/CAPITA DYNAMICS AND THE LEVEL OF MIGRATION INSIDE ROMANIAN S MACROREGIONS

Florea Adrian ()
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Florea Adrian: University of Oradea,

Annals of Faculty of Economics, 2016, vol. 1, issue 2, 194-202

Abstract: Emigration continues to be one of the very sensitive topics. Even if the most frequently mentioned causes of emigration are wars, natural disasters, politics, different types of discrimination, human rights abuses etc..; economic causes still remains the most important. In this paper we analyzed the causal relationships between how the two categories of Romanian s Macroregions indicators have evolved: GDP / capita and the level of emigration. Analyzing the the GDP / capita we find out information not only about the particularities of the standard of living in different regions of Romania, but especially on citizens' intentions to migrate. This was the main reason why we deepened analysis by age, knowing that young people s desire to migrate is higher, not just because of the spirit of adventure specific for age, but especially economic reasons: the impossibility of employment according to education background, lack experience required by employers etc. Our analysis identified an inverse relationship between increasing levels of GDP / capita and the number migrants. So how if the revenue in their region increase, the desire of young people to migrate decreases. Interesting it is also how potential migrants reacts to evolution of the GDP / capita. This behavior is registering a slight increase in the last 10 years of the 24 analyzed. Data from the period 1990 - 1992 are likely to be not relevant for our study, mainly because in the early years after the Romanian Revolution we have identified a massive movement from the regions where ethnic Germans lived, to Germany Republic; the economic criteria may be not the main reason for migrate, but reunification families. Also, the number of those leaving the regions is nearly identical to who are established in Germany in same period of time. This was the reason why our data focuses only on the interval 1992-2016, analyzing migrants by age groups and countries of destination

Keywords: GDP/capita evolution; macroregions of Romania; migration; standard of living (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 E03 E24 O11 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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