Factors Influencing the Scale of Chinese Treasury Bonds, Issuance and Prediction Thereof

Bin Xu () and Renjing Xu ()
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Bin Xu: Nanchang Institute of Technology
Renjing Xu: Nanchang Institute of Technology

Transnational Corporations Review, 2011, vol. 3, issue 1, 47-62

Abstract: This paper puts forward the background and the research on the scale of treasury bond issuance and the factors that influence it. The authors analyze the impacting factors and carry out an empirical investigation using the factor analysis methods, and then forecast the issuance scale of Treasury bonds in recent years. The paper argues that the debt burden rate and debt capacity of residents have become the most important factors influencing the issuance scale of treasury bonds. It is believed that the stable rapid development and growth of China's economy may play a decisive role in determining a reasonable range of scales of treasury bond issuance.

Keywords: treasury bonds; issuance scale; principal component analysis; grey prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oul:tncr09:v:3:y:2011:i:1:p:47-62

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