Understanding employment growth in the recession: the geographic diversity of state rescaling

Yuanshuo Xu and Mildred E. Warner

Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2015, vol. 8, issue 2, 359-377

Abstract: We conduct an employment growth model of all US county areas for the mild recession after 9/11 and the Great Recession. We find employment growth is positively related to educational attainment and state centralisation of fiscal responsibility and negatively related to manufacturing employment. We use Geographically Weighted Regression to explore the spatial diversity of responses and find neither theories of the developmental state nor austerity urbanism adequately predict locality response to the recession. State rescaling has shifted redistributive expenditure responsibility down to the local level, crowding out developmental investments and undermining local resilience.

Date: 2015
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Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society is currently edited by Judith Clifton, Anna Davies, Betsy Donald, Emil Evenhuis, Stefania Fiorentino (Associate Editor), Harry Garretsen, Meric Gertler, Amy Glasmeier, Mia Gray, Robert Hassink, Dieter Kogler, Michael Kitson, Linda Lobao, Charles van Marrewijk, Ron Martin, Peter Sunley, Peter Tyler and Chun Yang

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