Population dynamics and regional development in China

Canfei He and Xiyan Mao

Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2016, vol. 9, issue 3, 535-549

Abstract: Population dynamics can be read as an outcome as well as a determinant of regional development. Using the national census data in 2000 and 2010, we employ the simultaneous equation models to revisit the interactions between population dynamics and economic development by incorporating the spatial discrepancy between Hukou (a residential registration system) and non-Hukou populations. The results show that economic development is capable of attracting more non-Hukou populations. Population growth fosters service development and exerts little influence on manufacturing sectors, where non-Hukou populations accounts for a larger portion than its counterpart. Our findings suggest that the Hukou system is still able to curb the population-development spiral predicted by new economic geography through delinking the economic and social improvement.

Date: 2016
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Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society is currently edited by Judith Clifton, Anna Davies, Betsy Donald, Emil Evenhuis, Stefania Fiorentino (Associate Editor), Harry Garretsen, Meric Gertler, Amy Glasmeier, Mia Gray, Robert Hassink, Dieter Kogler, Michael Kitson, Linda Lobao, Charles van Marrewijk, Ron Martin, Peter Sunley, Peter Tyler and Chun Yang

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