EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Interest rate changes, mortgages, and consumption: evidence from Italy

Tullio Jappelli () and Annalisa Scognamiglio ()

Economic Policy, 2018, vol. 33, issue 94, 183-224

Abstract: SUMMARYUsing the Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth, we study whether the drop in interest rates following the Great Recession was associated with an increase in consumption for households with Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARM) relative to those with Fixed Rate Mortgages (FRM). After the reduction in mortgage payments, consumption of ARM holders increases relative to FRM but the implied marginal propensity to consume is not statistically different from zero. We suggest three explanations for the weak consumption response to the income shock. First, cash-on-hand and debt heterogeneity may attenuate the consumption response. Second, borrowers believe that the income shock was short-lasting, and that interest rates would likely increase in the future, implying a small effect on consumption. Third, the shock is offset partly by a reduction in income from financial assets owned by mortgagors. The findings have implications for the conduct of monetary policy interventions and the credibility of the future path of interest rates, pass-through of monetary policy, and design of the mortgage market.

JEL-codes: E2 E4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/epolic/eiy001 (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:ecpoli:v:33:y:2018:i:94:p:183-224.

Access Statistics for this article

Economic Policy is currently edited by Giuseppe Bertola, Philippe Martin and Paul Seabright

More articles in Economic Policy from CEPR Contact information at EDIRC., CES Contact information at EDIRC., MSH Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Oxford University Press ().

 
Page updated 2021-01-24
Handle: RePEc:oup:ecpoli:v:33:y:2018:i:94:p:183-224.