Quantile Spectral Beta: A Tale of Tail Risks, Investment Horizons, and Asset Prices*

Jozef Baruník and Matěj Nevrla

Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2023, vol. 21, issue 5, 1590-1646

Abstract: This article investigates how two important sources of risk—market tail risk (TR) and extreme market volatility risk—are priced into the cross-section of asset returns across various investment horizons. To identify such risks, we propose a quantile spectral (QS) beta representation of risk based on the decomposition of covariance between indicator functions that capture fluctuations over various frequencies. We study the asymptotic behavior of the proposed estimators of such risk. Empirically, we find that TR is a short-term phenomenon, whereas extreme volatility risk is priced by investors in the long term when pricing a cross-section of individual stocks. In addition, we study popular industry, size and value, profit, investment, or book-to-market portfolios, as well as portfolios constructed from various asset classes, portfolios sorted on cash flow duration, and other strategies. These results reveal that tail-dependent and horizon-specific risks are priced heterogeneously across datasets and are important sources of risk for investors.

Keywords: cross-sectional return variation; downside risk; frequency; investment horizons; spectral risk; tail risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 C58 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jjfinec/nbac017 (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
Working Paper: Quantile Spectral Beta: A Tale of Tail Risks, Investment Horizons, and Asset Prices (2021)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:jfinec:v:21:y:2023:i:5:p:1590-1646.

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://academic.oup.com/journals

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Financial Econometrics is currently edited by Allan Timmermann and Fabio Trojani

More articles in Journal of Financial Econometrics from Oxford University Press Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, UK. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Oxford University Press ().