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Second-Order Elections: Everyone, Everywhere? Regional and National Considerations in Regional Voting

Robert Liñeira

Publius: The Journal of Federalism, 2016, vol. 46, issue 4, 510-538

Abstract: Vote choice in regional elections is commonly explained as dependent on national politics and occasionally as an autonomous decision driven by region-specific factors. However, few arguments and little evidence have been provided regarding the determinants that drive voters’ choices to one end or the other of this dependency–autonomy continuum. In this article, we claim that contextual and individual factors help to raise (or lower) the voters’ awareness of their regional government, affecting the scale of considerations (national or regional) they use to cast their votes at regional elections. Using survey data from regional elections in Spain, we find that voters’ decisions are more autonomous from national politics among the more politically sophisticated voters, among those who have stronger feelings of attachment to their region, and in those contexts in which the regional incumbent party is different from the national one.

Date: 2016
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Publius: The Journal of Federalism is currently edited by Paul Nolette and Philip Rocco

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