Splitting Votes, Splitting Hairs? Rationale for Split-Ticket Voting at the Federal, Regional, and European Elections of May 2014 in Belgium

Simon Willocq and Camille Kelbel

Publius: The Journal of Federalism, 2018, vol. 48, issue 4, 664-685

Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of split-ticket voting at the 2014 simultaneous federal, regional, and European elections in Belgium. We seek to explain why over a third of the voters made distinct party choices at different levels of government. Using data from the 2014 PartiRep Survey, we test a model of ballot-splitting, incorporating various types of explanations. Of specific interest to students of federalism, results show that some voters engage in vertical party-balancing. At the same time, perceiving a differential in importance between the levels does not appear as a driver of split-ticket voting, which runs contrary to the main assumption of the “second-order” elections model.

Date: 2018
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