The Quarterly Journal of Economics

1886 - 2025

Current editor(s): Robert J. Barro, Lawrence F. Katz, Nathan Nunn, Andrei Shleifer and Stefanie Stantcheva

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Volume 139, issue 4, 2024

The Health Costs of Cost Sharing* pp. 2037-2082

Amitabh Chandra, Evan Flack and Ziad Obermeyer

Social Signaling and Childhood Immunization: A Field Experiment in Sierra Leone* pp. 2083-2133

Anne Karing

The Dynamics of Abusive Relationships* pp. 2135-2180

Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix and Ning Zhang

Stories, Statistics, and Memory* pp. 2181-2225

Thomas Graeber, Christopher Roth and Florian Zimmermann

Perceptions About Monetary Policy* pp. 2227-2278

Michael Bauer, Carolin E Pflueger and Adi Sunderam

Jim Crow and Black Economic Progress after Slavery* pp. 2279-2330

Lukas Althoff and Hugo Reichardt

Evolution vs. Creationism in the Classroom: The Lasting Effects of Science Education* pp. 2331-2375

Benjamin W Arold

Optimal Resilience in Multitier Supply Chains* pp. 2377-2425

Gene M Grossman, Elhanan Helpman and Alejandro Sabal

Global Firms in Large Devaluations pp. 2427-2474

Joaquin Blaum

Using Divide-and-Conquer to Improve Tax Collection pp. 2475-2523

Samuel Kapon, Lucia Del Carpio and Sylvain Chassang

Crowding in Private Quality: The Equilibrium Effects of Public Spending in Education* pp. 2525-2577

Tahir Andrabi, Natalie Bau, Jishnu Das, Naureen Karachiwalla and Asim Ijaz Khwaja

The Lifetime Impacts of the New Deal's Youth Employment Program pp. 2579-2635

Anna Aizer, Nancy Early, Shari Eli, Guido Imbens, Keyoung Lee, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Alexander Strand

Volume 139, issue 3, 2024

New Frontiers: The Origins and Content of New Work, 1940–2018* pp. 1399-1465

David Autor, Caroline Chin, Anna Salomons and Bryan Seegmiller

The Ant and the Grasshopper: Seasonality and the Invention of Agriculture* pp. 1467-1504

Andrea Matranga

Worker Beliefs About Outside Options* pp. 1505-1556

Simon Jäger, Christopher Roth, Nina Roussille and Benjamin Schoefer

The Role of the Ask Gap in Gender Pay Inequality pp. 1557-1610

Nina Roussille

Discrimination in Multiphase Systems: Evidence from Child Protection* pp. 1611-1664

E Jason Baron, Joseph J DoyleJr, Natalia Emanuel, Peter Hull and Joseph Ryan

Identifying Prediction Mistakes in Observational Data* pp. 1665-1711

Ashesh Rambachan

Digital Collateral* pp. 1713-1766

Paul Gertler, Brett Green and Catherine Wolfram

The Mortgage Piggy Bank: Building Wealth Through Amortization* pp. 1767-1825

Asaf Bernstein and Peter Koudijs

How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay* pp. 1827-1878

Martha Bailey, Thomas Helgerman and Bryan A Stuart

Answering the Call of Automation: How the Labor Market Adjusted to Mechanizing Telephone Operation* pp. 1879-1939

James Feigenbaum and Daniel Gross

Land Security and Mobility Frictions* pp. 1941-1987

Tasso Adam, Loren Brandt, Chaoran Chen, Diego Restuccia and Xiaoyun Wei

Understanding Markets with Socially Responsible Consumers* pp. 1989-2035

Marc Kaufmann, Peter Andre and Botond Kőszegi

Volume 139, issue 2, 2024

Wealth of Two Nations: The U.S. Racial Wealth Gap, 1860–2020* pp. 693-750

Ellora Derenoncourt, Chi Hyun Kim, Moritz Kuhn and Moritz Schularick

Machine Learning as a Tool for Hypothesis Generation* pp. 751-827

Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan

The Economic Impacts of COVID-19: Evidence from a New Public Database Built Using Private Sector Data* pp. 829-889

Raj Chetty, John N Friedman, Michael Stepner, Opportunity Insights Team, Camille Baker, Harvey Barnhard, Matt Bell, Gregory Bruich, Tina Chelidze, Lucas Chu, Westley Cineus, Sebi Devlin-Foltz, Michael Droste, Dhruv Gaur, Federico Gonzalez, Rayshauna Gray, Abigail Hiller, Matthew Jacob, Tyler Jacobson, Margaret Kallus, Fiona Kastel, Laura Kincaide, Caitlin Kupsc, Sarah LaBauve, Lucía Lamas, Maddie Marino, Kai Matheson, Jared Miller, Christian Mott, Kate Musen, Danny Onorato, Sarah Oppenheimer, Trina Ott, Lynn Overmann, Max Pienkny, Jeremiah Prince, Sebastian Puerta, Daniel Reuter, Peter Ruhm, Tom Rutter, Emanuel Schertz, Shannon Felton Spence, Krista Stapleford, Kamelia Stavreva, Ceci Steyn, James Stratton, Clare Suter, Elizabeth Thach, Nicolaj Thor, Amanda Wahlers, Kristen Watkins, Alanna Williams, David Williams, Chase Williamson, Shady Yassin, Ruby Zhang and Austin Zheng

Logs with Zeros? Some Problems and Solutions* pp. 891-936

Jiafeng Chen and Jonathan Roth

Violence against Women at Work* pp. 937-991

Abi Adams-Prassl, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix and Ning Zhang

Monitoring for Waste: Evidence from Medicare Audits* pp. 993-1049

Maggie Shi

The Impact of Public School Choice: Evidence from Los Angeles’s Zones of Choice* pp. 1051-1093

Christopher Campos and Caitlin Kearns

A Retrieved-Context Theory of Financial Decisions* pp. 1095-1147

Jessica A Wachter and Michael Jacob Kahana

Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline★ pp. 1149-1199

Ali Hortaçsu, Olivia R Natan, Hayden Parsley, Timothy Schwieg and Kevin R Williams

The Evolution of Market Power in the U.S. Automobile Industry* pp. 1201-1253

Paul L E Grieco, Charles Murry and Ali Yurukoglu

Grantmaking, Grading on a Curve, and the Paradox of Relative Evaluation in Nonmarkets* pp. 1255-1319

Jérôme Adda and Marco Ottaviani

How Americans Respond to Idiosyncratic and Exogenous Changes in Household Wealth and Unearned Income* pp. 1321-1395

Mikhail Golosov, Michael Graber, Magne Mogstad and David Novgorodsky

Volume 139, issue 1, 2024

Predicting and Preventing Gun Violence: An Experimental Evaluation of READI Chicago* pp. 1-56

Monica P Bhatt, Sara B Heller, Max Kapustin, Marianne Bertrand and Christopher Blattman

Eviction and Poverty in American Cities* pp. 57-120

Robert Collinson, John Humphries, Nicholas Mader, Davin Reed, Daniel Tannenbaum and Winnie van Dijk

New Pricing Models, Same Old Phillips Curves?* pp. 121-186

Adrien Auclert, Rodolfo Rigato, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

A Denial a Day Keeps the Doctor Away* pp. 187-233

Abe Dunn, Joshua Gottlieb, Adam Hale Shapiro, Daniel J Sonnenstuhl and Pietro Tebaldi

Trading Nontradables: The Implications of Europe’s Job-Posting Policy* pp. 235-304

Mathilde Muñoz

Inference on Winners* pp. 305-358

Isaiah Andrews, Toru Kitagawa and Adam McCloskey

An Economic Framework for Vaccine Prioritization* pp. 359-417

Mohammad Akbarpour, Eric Budish, Piotr Dworczak and Scott Duke Kominers

Measuring Welfare and Inequality with Incomplete Price Information* pp. 419-475

David Atkin, Benjamin Faber, Thibault Fally and Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

Measuring Growth in Consumer Welfare with Income-Dependent Preferences: Nonparametric Methods and Estimates for the United States* pp. 477-532

Xavier Jaravel and Danial Lashkari

Measuring Welfare by Matching Households across Time* pp. 533-573

David Baqaee, Ariel T Burstein and Yasutaka Koike-Mori

Representation and Extrapolation: Evidence from Clinical Trials* pp. 575-635

Marcella Alsan, Maya Durvasula, Harsh Gupta, Joshua Schwartzstein and Heidi Williams

Does Taxing Business Owners Affect Employees? Evidence From A Change in the Top Marginal Tax Rate* pp. 637-692

Max Risch

Volume 138, issue 4, 2023

Cognitive Uncertainty* pp. 2021-2067

Benjamin Enke and Thomas Graeber

Gender Differences in Job Search and the Earnings Gap: Evidence from the Field and Lab* pp. 2069-2126

Patricia Cortés, Jessica Pan, Laura Pilossoph, Ernesto Reuben and Basit Zafar

A Fiscal Theory of Persistent Inflation* pp. 2127-2179

Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini and Leonardo Melosi

Children’s Indirect Exposure to the U.S. Justice System: Evidence From Longitudinal Links between Survey and Administrative Data* pp. 2181-2224

Keith Finlay, Michael Mueller-Smith and Brittany Street

What We Teach About Race and Gender: Representation in Images and Text of Children’s Books* pp. 2225-2285

Anjali Adukia, Alex Eble, Emileigh Harrison, Hakizumwami Birali Runesha and Teodora Szasz

Labor Market Dynamics and Development* pp. 2287-2325

Kevin Donovan, Will Jianyu Lu and Todd Schoellman

A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates* pp. 2327-2389

Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson, Jeremy C Stein and Adi Sunderam

Buyers’ Sourcing Strategies and Suppliers’ Markups in Bangladeshi Garments* pp. 2391-2450

Julia Cajal-Grossi, Rocco Macchiavello and Guillermo Noguera

Search Frictions and Efficiency in Decentralized Transport Markets* pp. 2451-2503

Giulia Brancaccio, Myrto Kalouptsidi, Theodore Papageorgiou and Nicola Rosaia

The Damages and Distortions from Discrimination in the Rental Housing Market* pp. 2505-2557

Peter Christensen and Christopher Timmins

Economic Consequences of Kinship: Evidence From U.S. Bans on Cousin Marriage* pp. 2559-2606

Arkadev Ghosh, Sam Il Myoung Hwang and Munir Squires

Seeing What is Representative* pp. 2607-2657

Ignacio Esponda, Ryan Oprea and Sevgi Yuksel

Volume 138, issue 3, 2023

Ai-Tocracy pp. 1349-1402

Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman

Justifying Dissent pp. 1403-1451

Leonardo Bursztyn, Georgy Egorov, Ingar Haaland, Aakaash Rao and Christopher Roth

Misdemeanor Prosecution pp. 1453-1505

Amanda Agan, Jennifer L Doleac and Anna Harvey

The Geography of Unemployment pp. 1507-1576

Adrien Bilal

The Other Great Migration: Southern Whites and the New Right pp. 1577-1647

Samuel Bazzi, Andreas Ferrara, Martin Fiszbein, Thomas Pearson and Patrick Testa

Market Power and Spatial Competition in Rural India pp. 1649-1711

Shoumitro Chatterjee

Overreaction in Expectations: Evidence and Theory pp. 1713-1764

Hassan Afrouzi, Spencer Y Kwon, Augustin Landier, Yueran Ma and David Thesmar

Imperfect Risk Sharing and the Business Cycle pp. 1765-1815

David Berger, Luigi Bocola and Alessandro Dovis

Cultural Distance and Conflict-Related Sexual Violence pp. 1817-1861

Eleonora Guarnieri and Ana Tur-Prats

The Political Economics of Green Transitions pp. 1863-1906

Timothy Besley and Torsten Persson

Regulating Untaxable Externalities: Are Vehicle Air Pollution Standards Effective and Efficient? pp. 1907-1976

Mark R Jacobsen, James M Sallee, Joseph S Shapiro and Arthur A van Benthem

Visual Inference and Graphical Representation in Regression Discontinuity Designs pp. 1977-2019

Christina Korting, Carl Lieberman, Jordan Matsudaira, Zhuan Pei and Yi Shen

Volume 138, issue 2, 2023

Does Directed Innovation Mitigate Climate Damage? Evidence from U.S. Agriculture pp. 637-701

Jacob Moscona and Karthik A Sastry

How do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multicountry Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates pp. 703-767

Caroline Le Pennec and Vincent Pons

Welfare and Output With Income Effects and Taste Shocks pp. 769-834

David Baqaee and Ariel Burstein

Use It or Lose It: Efficiency and Redistributional Effects of Wealth Taxation pp. 835-894

Fatih Guvenen, Gueorgui Kambourov, Burhan Kuruscu, Sergio Ocampo and Daphne Chen

Cutting the Innovation Engine: How Federal Funding Shocks Affect University Patenting, Entrepreneurship, and Publications pp. 895-954

Tania Babina, Alex Xi He, Sabrina T Howell, Elisabeth Perlman and Joseph Staudt

Learning from Shared News: When Abundant Information Leads to Belief Polarization pp. 955-1000

T Renee Bowen, Danil Dmitriev and Simone Galperti

Why do Borrowers Default on Mortgages? pp. 1001-1065

Peter Ganong and Pascal Noel

Web of Power: How Elite Networks Shaped War and Politics in China pp. 1067-1108

Ying Bai, Ruixue Jia and Jiaojiao Yang

Globalization, Trade Imbalances, and Labor Market Adjustment pp. 1109-1171

Rafael Dix-Carneiro, João Paulo Pessoa, Ricardo Reyes-Heroles and Sharon Traiberman

The Fractured-Land Hypothesis pp. 1173-1231

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Mark Koyama, Youhong Lin and Tuan-Hwee Sng

Let the Worst One Fail: A Credible Solution to the Too-Big-To-Fail Conundrum pp. 1233-1271

Thomas Philippon and Olivier Wang

The Refugee’s Dilemma: Evidence from Jewish Migration out of Nazi Germany pp. 1273-1345

Johannes Buggle, Thierry Mayer, Seyhun Orcan Sakalli and Mathias Thoenig

Volume 138, issue 1, 2023

When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering? pp. 1-35

Alberto Abadie, Susan Athey, Guido W Imbens and Jeffrey Wooldridge

The Evolution of Access to Public Accommodations in the United States pp. 37-102

Lisa D Cook, Maggie Jones, Trevon Logan and David Rosé

Increasing the Demand for Workers with a Criminal Record pp. 103-150

Zoë Cullen, Will Dobbie and Mitchell Hoffman

Improving Workplace Climate in Large Corporations: A Clustered Randomized Intervention pp. 151-203

Sule Alan, Gozde Corekcioglu and Matthias Sutter

Asset Specificity of Nonfinancial Firms pp. 205-264

Amir Kermani and Yueran Ma

Memory and Probability pp. 265-311

Pedro Bordalo, John J Conlon, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Y Kwon and Andrei Shleifer

Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers pp. 313-362

Cosmin Ilut and Rosen Valchev

The Long-Term Effects of Universal Preschool in Boston pp. 363-411

Guthrie Gray-Lobe, Parag Pathak and Christopher Walters

Inflammatory Political Campaigns and Racial Bias in Policing pp. 413-463

Pauline Grosjean, Federico Masera and Hasin Yousaf

New Deal, New Patriots: How 1930s Government Spending Boosted Patriotism During World War II pp. 465-513

Bruno Caprettini and Hans-Joachim Voth

Top Wealth in America: New Estimates Under Heterogeneous Returns pp. 515-573

Matthew Smith, Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick

Corruption in Customs pp. 575-636

Cyril Chalendard, Ana M Fernandes, Gaël Raballand and Bob Rijkers