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A Welfare Criterion For Models With Distorted Beliefs

Markus Brunnermeier, Alp Simsek and Wei Xiong

The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2014, vol. 129, issue 4, 1753-1797

Abstract: This article proposes a welfare criterion for economies in which agents have heterogeneously distorted beliefs. Instead of taking a stand on whose belief is correct, our criterion asserts that an allocation is belief-neutral efficient (inefficient) if it is efficient (inefficient) under any convex combination of agents’ beliefs. Although this criterion gives an incomplete ranking of social allocations, it can identify positive- and negative-sum speculation driven by conflicting beliefs in a broad range of economic environments. JEL Codes: D61, D62, D84, G12, G14.

Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (128)

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The Quarterly Journal of Economics is currently edited by Robert J. Barro, Lawrence F. Katz, Nathan Nunn, Andrei Shleifer and Stefanie Stantcheva

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