The Lifetime Impacts of the New Deal's Youth Employment Program

Anna Aizer, Nancy Early, Shari Eli, Guido Imbens, Keyoung Lee, Adriana Lleras-Muney and Alexander Strand

The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2024, vol. 139, issue 4, 2579-2635

Abstract: We study the lifetime effects of the first and largest American youth employment and training program in the United States—the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC), 1933–1942. We match newly digitized enrollee records to census, World War II enlistment, Social Security, and death records. We find that longer service in the CCC led to improvements in height, health status, longevity, geographic mobility, and lifetime earnings but did not improve short-term labor market outcomes, including employment and wages. We address potential selection into CCC duration using several approaches, most importantly two newly developed control-function approaches that leverage unbiased estimates of the short-term effects of a randomized controlled trial of Job Corps (the modern version of the CCC). Our findings suggest that short- and medium-term evaluations of employment programs underestimate effects because they fail to capture lifetime effects and often ignore or underestimate health and longevity benefits that increase in magnitude at later ages.

Date: 2024
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