Call-Put Implied Volatility Spreads and Option Returns

James S. Doran, Andy Fodor and Danling Jiang

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 2013, vol. 3, issue 2, 258-290

Abstract: Prior literature shows that implied volatility spreads between call and put options are positively related to future underlying stock returns. In this paper, however, we demonstrate that the volatility spreads are negatively related to future out-of-the-money call option returns. Using unique data on option volumes, we reconcile the two pieces of evidence by showing that option demand by sophisticated, firm investors drives the positive stock return predictability based on volatility spreads, while demand by less sophisticated, customer investors drives the negative call option return predictability. Overall, our evidence suggests that volatility spreads contain information about both firm fundamentals and option mispricing.

JEL-codes: G12 G13 G14 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:rasset:v:3:y:2013:i:2:p:258-290.

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