Downside Risk Timing by Mutual Funds

Andriy Bodnaruk, Bekhan Chokaev and Andrei Simonov

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 2019, vol. 9, issue 1, 171-196

Abstract: We study whether mutual funds systematically manage the downside risk of their portfolios in ways that improve their performance. We find that actively managed mutual funds on average possess positive downside-risk-timing ability. Managers adjust funds’ downside risk exposure in response to macroeconomic information; however, downside-risk-timing skills remain strong even after controlling for macro variables. Funds more skilled in timing downside risk outperform those that are not by 14.3 bp per month (or 1.73% annualized) unconditionally and by 39.9 bp per month (or 4.89% annualized) during recessions; they also attract larger flows. Received September 11, 2016; editorial decision Januaruy 08, 2018 by Editor Wayne Ferson.

Date: 2019
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Working Paper: Downside Risk Timing by Mutual Funds (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oup:rasset:v:9:y:2019:i:1:p:171-196.

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