Forecast dispersion and error versus size, book-to-market ratio and momentum: A comparison of anomalies from 1992 to 2001

Stephen J Ciccone ()
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Stephen J Ciccone: University of New Hampshire, Whittemore School of Business and Economics, McConnell Hall

Journal of Asset Management, 2003, vol. 3, issue 4, No 5, 333-344

Abstract: Abstract Anomalies based on forecast properties (dispersion and error), size, book-to-market ratio and momentum are evaluated during the period 1992–2001 for a sample of US stocks using an annual buy-and-hold strategy. The forecast property, book-to-market and momentum anomalies all clearly persist during the sample period, while the size anomaly disappears. Although the book-to-market anomaly is the most powerful in magnitude, the forecast property anomalies are the most consistent in year-by-year performance. Combining the forecast property anomalies with either the momentum or book-to-market anomalies results in spectacular return performance. Overall, investors should consider taking advantage of the forecast property anomalies when selecting their stock holdings.

Keywords: analysts; anomalies; forecasts; market efficiency; size effect; stock returns (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jam.2240087

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