A “New” General Theory of Population Ageing

Jean-Pierre Michel () and Jean-Marie Robine ()
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Jean-Pierre Michel: Geneva University Hospitals
Jean-Marie Robine: INSERM, Health and Demography, University of Montpellier 1

The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2004, vol. 29, issue 4, No 6, 667-678

Abstract: Abstract The main theories of population ageing based on recent data on human longevity, life expectancy, morbidity changes, disability trends and fall in mortality show co-existing contradictory tendencies in disability and functioning. These contradictions reflect differences in geographic, cultural, socio-economic, political and medical contexts, for instance: • an increase in the survival rates of sick persons which would explain the expansion of morbidity and/or disability that is now taking place in Taiwan, • control of the progression of chronic diseases which would explain the subtle equilibrium between the fall in mortality and the increase in disability currently observed in the U.K., • an improvement in the health status and health behaviours of the new cohorts of old people which would explain the reduction in morbidity and/or disability now found in France, Switzerland and the U.S.

Date: 2004
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DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0440.2004.00309.x

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