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Output and Unanticipated Money in the Dependent Economy Model

Peter Montiel

IMF Staff Papers, 1987, vol. 34, issue 2, 228-259

Abstract: This paper builds a "new classical" model for a fixed-exchange rate economy based on the dependent economy framework, which has proved particularly fruitful for the analysis of macroeconomic issues in developing countries. The implied reduced-form output equations are quite different from their closed, one-sector counterparts. In particular, anticipated policy changes have real effects in this model, though these effects differ from those of unanticipated changes. These equations are estimated for Mexico for the fixed exchange-rate period 1953-75. The results cast some doubts on the relevance of new classical analysis for Mexico during this period.

Date: 1987
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