Long-Run Exchange Rate Modeling: A Survey of the Recent Evidence

Ronald MacDonald

IMF Staff Papers, 1995, vol. 42, issue 3, 437-489

Abstract: In this paper the recent literature on long-run exchange rate modeling is surveyed. In particular, we review the voluminous literature that tests for a unit root in real exchange rates and the closely related work on testing for a unit root in the residual from a regression of the nominal exchange rate on relative prices. We argue that the balance of evidence is supportive of the existence of some form of long-run exchange rate relationship. The form of this relationship, however, does not accord exactly with a traditional representation of the long-run exchange rate, and we offer some potential explanations.

Date: 1995
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