A Box-Jenkins Model for forecasting U.S. Merchandise Exports

Charles Dale and Victor B Bailey
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Victor B Bailey: U.S. Department of Commerce

Journal of International Business Studies, 1982, vol. 13, issue 1, 108 pages

Abstract: This paper presents time-series forecasts for end-use categories for U.S. merchandise exports. Both the basic principles of end-use accounting and the fundamental methods of Box-Jenkins time-series techniques are explained. The result is a set of predicted values of U.S. merchandise exports which may be used to analyze and evaluate other exports forecasting models.© 1982 JIBS. Journal of International Business Studies (1982) 13, 101–108

Date: 1982
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