Using simulation modelling for evaluating screening services for diabetic retinopathy

R Davies, S Brailsford, P Roderick, C Canning and D Crabbe
Additional contact information
R Davies: University of Southampton
S Brailsford: University of Southampton
P Roderick: University of Southampton
C Canning: Southampton Eye Unit, Southampton University Hospital Trust
D Crabbe: University of Southampton

Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2000, vol. 51, issue 4, 476-484

Abstract: Abstract In using discrete event simulation for planning services in the health sector, epidemiologists and clinicians were closely involved in model design, data collection, analysis, validation and experimentation. For patients with diabetes, loss of sight can be prevented by timely treatment if detected sufficiently early. Simulation models, using the patient oriented simulation technique, POST, have been developed to assist policy makers in the choice of screening strategy in terms of operator, equipment, frequency of screening and target population. The models describe the progress of a population of diabetic patients, including new arrivals, over 25 years. The initial population were given characteristics retrospectively and the parameters were derived from peer reviewed publications. The results from the models show that the interval between screening is more important than screening sensitivity. The simulation can determine the expected workload and the amount of vision loss prevented for any population group.

Keywords: simulation; Health Service; planning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600890 Abstract (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:51:y:2000:i:4:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2600890

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... search/journal/41274

DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600890

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of the Operational Research Society is currently edited by Tom Archibald and Jonathan Crook

More articles in Journal of the Operational Research Society from Palgrave Macmillan, The OR Society
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().