OR and the challenge to improve the NHS: modelling for insight and improvement in in-patient flows

N C Proudlove (), S Black and A Fletcher
Additional contact information
N C Proudlove: University of Manchester
S Black: PA Consulting
A Fletcher: Department of Health

Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2007, vol. 58, issue 2, 145-158

Abstract: Abstract This paper considers efforts to improve in-patient flows, a particularly urgent issue in the National Health Service (NHS). The context is described and related to reasons why OR has been making relatively little contribution. The paper argues that large complex models may often be unnecessary and even get in the way of providing clear insight and guidance for problem owners. The importance of understanding the generic working of systems to lead to improvement, and the limitations of simply describing them, is stressed. It is demonstrated that some very simple models can be of significant practical value in understanding and managing complex systems, changing mindsets and driving collection and use of operationally valuable data. Recommendations for more effective engagement with the NHS are offered.

Keywords: health service; hospitals; forecasting; simulation; process of OR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602252

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