The effect of distance on cargo flows: a case study of Chinese imports and their hinterland destinations

Likun Wang (), Anne Goodchild and Yong Wang
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Likun Wang: Shanghai Maritime University
Anne Goodchild: University of Washington
Yong Wang: Chongqing Jiaotong University

Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2018, vol. 20, issue 3, No 8, 456-475

Abstract: Abstract With the rapid development of ports in China, competition for cargo is growing. The ability of a port to attract hinterland traffic is affected by many factors, including distance to the hinterland destinations. This paper studies the effects of distance on import cargo flows from a port to its hinterland. Two major findings are reported. Through a Spatial Concentration Analysis, this study shows that cargo imported through ports with relatively low throughput is primarily delivered to local areas, with the proportion of cargo delivered to local areas from larger ports being much smaller. The present study also shows (according to a gravity model, the Gompertz function and several other methods) that cargo flows from a large port to its hinterland increase with distance below a certain threshold, while cargo flows approach a stable state once they exceed this threshold. These results can be used to inform port managers and policy makers regarding the hinterland markets for ports of different sizes.

Keywords: Import cargo flow; Hinterland; Ports of China; Distance decay; Gompertz model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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DOI: 10.1057/s41278-017-0079-3

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