Some Long-Run Correlations of Inflation in Developed Countries
Kenneth D. West and
Tu Cao
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Kenneth D. West: University of Wisconsin
Tu Cao: University of Wisconsin
Revista Economía, 2022, vol. 45, issue 89, 1-23
Abstract:
Using 100+years of data from 18 developed countries, we use a frequency domain technique to compute “long-run” correlations between inflation on the one hand and money growth and nominal interest rates on the other. The estimated long-run correlations are almost always positive. Their magnitude is relatively substantial for money growth, more modest for interest rates. We conclude that some traditional propositions about monetary neutrality are broadly consistent with the data.
Keywords: Low frequency; Long-run neutrality; Fisher effect; Fractional integration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E41 E43 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pcp:pucrev:y:2022:i:89:p:1-23
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