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Ankit Arora ()

Polish Journal of Management Studies, 2012, vol. 5, issue 1, 150-179

Abstract: This research has the primal objective of forecasting the viability of Poland as a present member of European Union taking a step further and joining the inner circle by adopting euro as its currency. A study about short and long term implications of this decision on the country’s economic stability and growth prospects. This journey begins in the chaotic times of the Second World War, a brief snapshot of pre-European Union and Euro zone era, to understand the political and economic background. Taking a look at the convergence criteria, necessary to adopt the Euro. A comparison between Poland and other giants in the union, to know about its status on the grounds of these criteria. We measure the timeline which should be adopted by Poland to join by forecasting Global competitive Index to understand the trends for next 20 years. This gives us an approximate time that would be taken by this nation to be equally competitive with the ranks of Germany, France, etc to survive in a free trade region.This integration would only be profitable to Poland, if it brings in major trade and capital inflows as a result of elimination of exchange rate risks and transactions cost. Therefore we look at past and present performance of the Polish economy at this front.Lastly, we try to comprehend a socio – economic paradigm shift that is taking place in European nations and how it would affect Poland as a nation and an economy to conclude our study.

Keywords: Poland; Euro zone; Currency Exchange Rate; Global Competitiveness Index; Demographic Shift; Investment Opportunities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E2 E3 E4 E5 E6 F0 F1 F2 F3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Handle: RePEc:pcz:journl:v:5:y:2012:i:1:p:150-179