Intercensal Change and the Indirect Estimation of Mortality: The Case of Pakistan

Margaret E. Greene
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Margaret E. Greene: University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A.

The Pakistan Development Review, 1987, vol. 26, issue 4, 569-585

Abstract: In a country such as Pakistan, where there is no vital registration system, estimating mortality levels and trends can be difficult. One way we can learn about mortality is to use indirect estimation techniques on census age distributions. This paper applies some of these techniques and evaluates the quality of the census data in the process. Various researchers have found evidence of a mortality pattern unique to South Asian populations, (Heligman 1985). They fmd that the expectation of life for females is less than that for males where values of e(O) range between 40 and 50 years, but that the opposite is true where e(O) is between 60 and 70 years. This suggests that as South Asian mortality declines, the sex differential disappears, and the pattern is more like that found in the rest of the world.

Date: 1987
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