Dynamic Modeling of Private Investment in the Agricultural Sector of Pakistan

Imtiaz Ahmad and Abdul Qayyum
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Imtiaz Ahmad: Planning Commission/Planning and Development Division, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.

The Pakistan Development Review, 2008, vol. 47, issue 4, 517-530

Abstract: The study attempts an empirical assessment of the effects of macroeconomic instability and public expenditures on private fixed investment in agriculture. We estimated the specified private fixed investment model. First applying ADF test for unit root analysis on individual series, and then examining cointegration relationship between private fixed investment in agriculture and its determinants using Johansen (1988) method. The stable short-run dynamic function for private fixed investment in agriculture is estimated. The result confirmed that public development expenditures enhance the private investment in agriculture sector. Macroeconomic instability and uncertainty depresses private inves tment for agriculture by creating uncertain current and future environment.

Date: 2008
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