Human-environment feedback and the consistency of proenvironmental behavior
Claire Ecotière,
Sylvain Billiard,
Jean-Baptiste André,
Pierre Collet,
Régis Ferrière and
Sylvie Méléard
PLOS Computational Biology, 2023, vol. 19, issue 9, 1-22
Abstract:
Addressing global environmental crises such as anthropogenic climate change requires the consistent adoption of proenvironmental behavior by a large part of a population. Here, we develop a mathematical model of a simple behavior-environment feedback loop to ask how the individual assessment of the environmental state combines with social interactions to influence the consistent adoption of proenvironmental behavior, and how this feeds back to the perceived environmental state. In this stochastic individual-based model, individuals can switch between two behaviors, ‘active’ (or actively proenvironmental) and ‘baseline’, differing in their perceived cost (higher for the active behavior) and environmental impact (lower for the active behavior). We show that the deterministic dynamics and the stochastic fluctuations of the system can be approximated by ordinary differential equations and a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process. By definition, the proenvironmental behavior is adopted consistently when, at population stationary state, its frequency is high and random fluctuations in frequency are small. We find that the combination of social and environmental feedbacks can promote the spread of costly proenvironmental behavior when neither, operating in isolation, would. To be adopted consistently, strong social pressure for proenvironmental action is necessary but not sufficient—social interactions must occur on a faster timescale compared to individual assessment, and the difference in environmental impact must be small. This simple model suggests a scenario to achieve large reductions in environmental impact, which involves incrementally more active and potentially more costly behavior being consistently adopted under increasing social pressure for proenvironmentalism.Author summary: Reducing global environmental degradation such as climate warming requires the adoption of consistent proenvironmental behaviors. But we, as individuals, tend to act in response to alarming events, and relax when things seem to get better. Can this tendency to behave inconsistently be countered by social interactions and social pressure? We explore this question by developing a simple mathematical model. We find that social interactions, in combination with our own individual perception of population’s environmental impact, can indeed promote the consistent adoption of costly environmental behavior, but only when the social pressure for proenvironmentalism is strong enough. Our model suggests a possible path through ‘small steps’ from ‘business as usual’ behavior to active behavior with large reduction of the environmental impact. In the small-steps scenario, a gradual buildup of social pressure for proenvironmentalism can lead to a large reduction in perceived environmental impact even if the active behaviors adopted by the population become incrementally more costly. Thus, creating contexts that are conducive to strong social pressure for proenvironmentalism, through communication and public policy, appears both critical and powerful to achieve behavioral change that can make a difference.
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pcbi00:1011429
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011429
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