The association between power outages and cardiovascular and respiratory hospitalizations among US Medicare beneficiaries in 2018: A case-crossover study

Heather McBrien, Daniel Mork, Vivian Do, Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou and Joan A Casey

PLOS Medicine, 2026, vol. 23, issue 3, 1-18

Abstract: Background: In the United States, already-prevalent power outages are increasing in frequency and duration with climate change. Studies from New York State show that power outages may increase hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and respiratory disease in vulnerable populations such as older adults, but exposure data limitations have constrained nationwide studies of power outages and health. Here, we tested if power outages were associated with emergency CVD and respiratory disease-related hospitalizations among older adults in the United States. Methods and findings: We developed a national dataset of power outage exposure and identified county-days with ≥1% of customers exposed to 8+ hour power outages in 2018. We leveraged data on 23 million Medicare Fee-For-Service beneficiaries aged 65+ to estimate daily county-level rates of emergency CVD- and respiratory-related hospitalizations. We applied a case-crossover design with a conditional Poisson model to estimate the lagged association (up to 1 week) between daily county-level power outage exposure and cause-specific hospitalization rates. Models controlled for daily temperature, precipitation, and wind speed. Results: Power outages were associated with increased emergency CVD and respiratory hospitalizations. The association between power outage and CVD hospitalizations was strongest the day after power outage exposure (rate ratio [RR]=1.02, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.03), while the association between outage and respiratory disease was strongest the day of power outage exposure (RR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.04). We estimated this association using county-level power outage data; future studies could use higher spatial resolution data. Conclusions: Power outages may increase the risk of CVD and respiratory hospitalizations among US older adults. Improving electricity reliability could support community health and protect older adults from CVD and respiratory disease exacerbations. Why was this study done?: What did the researchers do and find?: What do these findings mean?: In a case-crossover study, Heather McBrien and colleagues investigate if power outages are associated with cardiovascular and respiratory hospitalizations in older adults in the US.Image: https://unsplash.com/photos/a-candle-is-lit-in-front-of-a-window-lrj7xeJlcb4Credit: Photo by Anne Nygård on Unsplash

Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pmed00:1004923

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004923

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