High epilepsy prevalence and excess mortality in onchocerciasis-endemic counties of South Sudan: A call for integrated interventions

Luís-Jorge Amaral, Stephen Raimon Jada, Jane Y Carter, Yak Yak Bol, María-Gloria Basáñez, Charles R Newton, Joseph N Siewe Fodjo and Robert Colebunders

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2025, vol. 19, issue 6, 1-18

Abstract: Background: Epilepsy is a major health concern in onchocerciasis-endemic regions with intense transmission, where the infection is associated with a high epilepsy burden. This study investigated epilepsy prevalence and mortality in five onchocerciasis-endemic counties of South Sudan, and the association between onchocerciasis transmission and epilepsy, including probable nodding syndrome (pNS). Methodology: House-to-house cross-sectional surveys (2021–2024) identified persons with suspected epilepsy (sPWE) and retrospectively documented deaths among sPWE and individuals without epilepsy (IWE). Epilepsy diagnoses, including pNS, were confirmed by trained clinicians. Ongoing transmission was assessed using anti-Ov16 seroprevalence in children aged 3‒9 years. Age- and sex-standardised epilepsy, pNS and anti-Ov16 prevalence were calculated, along with age- and sex-standardised mortality rates and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs), using IWE as the reference population. Weighted arcsin-transformed linear regression was used to explore the association between epilepsy and anti-Ov16 prevalence. Principal findings: Among 34,019 individuals screened, 166 deaths occurred in 3,101 person-years for sPWE versus 466 deaths in 63,420 person-years for IWE. Epilepsy prevalence was 4.1% (range: 2.3-7.1%), and pNS prevalence was 1.5% (range: 0.6-2.2%). Anti-Ov16 seroprevalence among children was 23.3% (range: 1.4-44.1%). Each 1.0 percentage point increase in standardised anti-Ov16 seroprevalence was statistically significantly associated with an average rise of 0.10 percentage points in standardised epilepsy prevalence and 0.04 percentage points in standardised pNS prevalence. Median age at death was lower for sPWE (20 years) than IWE (38 years; Mann-Whitney U-test p-value

Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pntd00:0013244

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0013244

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