Estimating Incidence Curves of Several Infections Using Symptom Surveillance Data

Edward Goldstein, Benjamin J Cowling, Allison E Aiello, Saki Takahashi, Gary King, Ying Lu and Marc Lipsitch

PLOS ONE, 2011, vol. 6, issue 8, 1-8

Abstract: We introduce a method for estimating incidence curves of several co-circulating infectious pathogens, where each infection has its own probabilities of particular symptom profiles. Our deconvolution method utilizes weekly surveillance data on symptoms from a defined population as well as additional data on symptoms from a sample of virologically confirmed infectious episodes. We illustrate this method by numerical simulations and by using data from a survey conducted on the University of Michigan campus. Last, we describe the data needs to make such estimates accurate.

Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0023380

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0023380

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