The Changing Strength and Nature of Fire-Climate Relationships in the Northern Rocky Mountains, U.S.A., 1902-2008

Philip E Higuera, John T Abatzoglou, Jeremy S Littell and Penelope Morgan

PLOS ONE, 2015, vol. 10, issue 6, 1-21

Abstract: Time-varying fire-climate relationships may represent an important component of fire-regime variability, relevant for understanding the controls of fire and projecting fire activity under global-change scenarios. We used time-varying statistical models to evaluate if and how fire-climate relationships varied from 1902-2008, in one of the most flammable forested regions of the western U.S.A. Fire-danger and water-balance metrics yielded the best combination of calibration accuracy and predictive skill in modeling annual area burned. The strength of fire-climate relationships varied markedly at multi-decadal scales, with models explaining

Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0127563

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0127563

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