Traffic congestion prediction based on Estimated Time of Arrival

Noureen Zafar and Irfan Ul Haq

PLOS ONE, 2020, vol. 15, issue 12, 1-19

Abstract: With the rapid expansion of sensor technologies and wireless network infrastructure, research and development of traffic associated applications, such as real-time traffic maps, on-demand travel route reference and traffic forecasting are gaining much more attention than ever before. In this paper, we elaborate on our traffic prediction application, which is based on traffic data collected through Google Map API. Our application is a desktop-based application that predicts traffic congestion state using Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA). In addition to ETA, the prediction system takes into account various features such as weather, time period, special conditions, holidays, etc. The label of the classifier is identified as one of the five traffic states i.e. smooth, slightly congested, congested, highly congested or blockage. The results demonstrate that the random forest classification algorithm has the highest prediction accuracy of 92 percent followed by XGBoost and KNN respectively.

Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0238200

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0238200

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