Relaxation of social distancing restrictions: Model estimated impact on COVID-19 epidemic in Manitoba, Canada

Leigh Anne Shafer, Marcello Nesca and Robert Balshaw

PLOS ONE, 2021, vol. 16, issue 1, 1-15

Abstract: Objectives: The unprecedented worldwide social distancing response to COVID-19 resulted in a quick reversal of escalating case numbers. Recently, local governments globally have begun to relax social distancing regulations. Using the situation in Manitoba, Canada as an example, we estimated the impact that social distancing relaxation may have on the pandemic. Methods: We fit a mathematical model to empirically estimated numbers of people infected, recovered, and died from COVID-19 in Manitoba. We then explored the impact of social distancing relaxation on: (a) time until near elimination of COVID-19 (

Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:plo:pone00:0244537

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0244537

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